Capacity Ledger

The Closure That Never Gets Announced

Huntsman spent $30 million on its plants last quarter and depreciated $77 million of them. MDI prices rose across all three regions in the same quarter, which is the part that should worry anyone buying it.


Huntsman put $30 million into its plants in the second quarter.

It depreciated $77 million of them in the same three months.

That is not a quarter-end timing artifact. The company told the market after Thursday's close that it expects to spend approximately $170 million on capital in all of 2026, against a depreciation and amortization line that ran $150 million in the first half alone.

We count closures here. Announced ones, with a press release and a WARN notice and a date.

This is the other kind.

"How much capacity leaves the Western system without anyone ever filing a notice?"

Five Years, One Direction

Pull Huntsman's own tagged filing data and the shape is unambiguous (chart below).

Capital spending went $326m in 2021, $272m in 2022, $230m in 2023, $184m in 2024, $173m in 2025. Depreciation over the same five years sat between $278m and $289m and never moved much.

So the capital line fell 47% while the wear-and-tear line stayed flat.

The 2026 guide of roughly $170m is the sixth year of the same decision. Against the 2025 depreciation print, that is 59 cents of replacement for every dollar of asset consumed.

Worth saying plainly: a company can run below depreciation for a year or two and lose nothing real. Depreciation schedules are tax and accounting artifacts, useful lives get set conservatively, and a well-run site can defer a lot without anyone noticing.

That is the honest version of Huntsman's side of this.

Five years is not one or two.

The rest of this brief is for subscribers.

The capacity math, the trade-flow read, and what it means for the products you buy.

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